Published On: Wed, May 27th, 2020

Ever Wondered Why A Villager Left Your Island In Animal Crossing? This Latest Datamine Reveals All

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There’s so many to learn in Animal Crossing: New Horizons, though there are some things in a diversion you’ll substantially never work out or be means to make clarity of unless we have a small additional information. This is where datamining comes into play.

Just days after a arguable Animal Crossing dataminer Ninji suggested how certain villagers will usually send we feign paintings in a mail, they’ve now explained a routine behind villagers relocating out – and don’t worry, it’s not unequivocally your error when they do leave, it’s many some-more pointless than that.

Although this information was collected in chronicle 1.2.0, Ninji believes a behaviours are still a same in chronicle 1.2.1. Here’s a full rundown:


  • you contingency have during slightest 6 villagers vital on your island before any will cruise relocating out
  • on a given day, a % possibility of somebody seeking to pierce is given by (v * 5) + c, where v is a volume of villagers we have, and c is a ‘MoveOutTalkCount’, a volume of days given we final told a villager to leave or stay (maxing during 30)

there’s a integrate of conditions on that

  • there is a 5-day cooldown after revelation a villager to leave or stay – so nobody will ask to pierce if MoveOutTalkCount = 5
  • there is a 15-day cooldown starting on a day a villager has left a island and liberated adult a tract (this is called a ‘MoveOutSkipCount’)
  • if these checks pass, a pointless villager will be picked who will ask to pierce out
    each villager’s possibility is formed on loyalty and distributed by floor((300 – a) / 10) – r

a = normal loyalty they have with all island residents

r = volume of residents with 200 friendship

  • friendship is 0-255 (starting during 25), so this starts during 27 for new villagers, going down with aloft loyalty levels

villagers will be released if:
– residence is being moved
– birthday was in a final 7 days
– they were picked final time and told to stay
– changed in many recently


Ninji sums adult by explaining how there is no “magic method” to make villagers pierce out and says it’s all still heavily chance-based. In observant this, we can flog out villagers if we unequivocally wish (by seeking an existent villager to pierce out) – though it’s not accurately a true brazen process, as explained in the guide.

Has a villager left your city recently? Tell us below.

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